Simulated GDP - in the integration scenario
The Integration scenario is based on the assumption that the process of integration in the CE area will rapidly take place, while the Partial Integration scenario assumes that the pandemic generates a slowdown of the integration process within the CE area by limiting institutional and economic interactions, and postponing agreements. The two integration scenarios show similar disparity trends since the slowdown of the integration process does not influence the distribution of GDP at national and regional level but rather the aggregate growth: due to a spatially equal distribution of integration advantages, such as the increasing intensity of cooperation relations, stronger networks, and higher trust, both between and within disparities in the two integration scenarios remain rather stable.
The most gaining regions from integration are located along the borders between countries belonging to the CE area, and are those that are hotspots of manufacturing activities, well connected through international trade networks, (e.g. north-eastern part of Italy, northern Germany, Slovakia) thanks to stronger relationships among suppliers and buyers within the production chain. Metropolitan and large cities do not seem to gain particularly from integration.
Theme(s): Economy, finance and trade - Economy, Finance and Trade
| Spatial Extent | Nomenclature | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| name | version | level | |
| Central Europe | NUTS | 2013 | 2 |
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